tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:15 TVC → 12:45 ORD
    UA 5575 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:12 DCA
    UA 1941 · United · 2h 12m · 66% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 57mTVC 12:15 to DCA 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.