tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Orlando via Houston: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:57 STL → 17:16 IAH
    UA 5580 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:26 IAH → 21:58 MCO
    UA 2451 · United · 2h 32m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 01mSTL 14:57 to MCO 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.