tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:46 OKC → 20:08 DEN
    UA 5582 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 71% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DEN → 21:59 PHX
    UA 1236 · United · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 13mOKC 18:46 to PHX 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.