Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Louisville → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 24%
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14:10 SDF → 14:50 ORDUA 5603 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 57% on time, 3.2% cancelled
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1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:00 ORD → 19:22 LGAUA 2809 · United · 2h 22m · 42% on time, 10.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (10.8% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip5h 12mSDF 14:10 to LGA 19:22, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.