tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:54 TYS → 14:55 ORD
    UA 5617 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 63% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 ORD → 21:54 LGA
    UA 2605 · United · 2h 29m · 54% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip8h 00mTYS 13:54 to LGA 21:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.