tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 32%

  1. 12:40 OKC → 15:00 ORD
    UA 5621 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:49 ORD → 17:40 BNA
    UA 5665 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 51m · 58% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 00mOKC 12:40 to BNA 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.