tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 12:40 OKC → 15:00 ORD
    UA 5621 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:47 ORD → 18:20 LAX
    UA 576 · United · 4h 33m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 40mOKC 12:40 to LAX 18:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.