tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 18:47 SMF → 20:39 LAX
    UA 5628 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:55 LAX → 05:55 MDW +1 day
    WN 2413 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 86% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 08mSMF 18:47 to MDW 05:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.