tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:04 SDF → 10:40 ORD
    UA 5629 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ORD → 16:30 IAD
    UA 2794 · United · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 26mSDF 10:04 to IAD 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.