tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 79%

  1. 18:18 SBA → 19:32 LAX
    UA 5647 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 41mSBA 18:18 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.