Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 19:23 MKE → 20:29 ORD
    UA 5653 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 06m · 26% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 23:29 STL
    UA 4576 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 29m · 70% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 06mMKE 19:23 to STL 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.