tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:23 MKE → 20:29 ORD
    UA 5653 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 06m · 26% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ORD → 00:57 PHL +1 day
    UA 1744 · United · 2h 12m · 74% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 34mMKE 19:23 to PHL 00:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.