tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:55 TVC → 16:29 ORD
    UA 5686 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:02 ORD → 22:59 IAH
    UA 2813 · United · 2h 57m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 04mTVC 15:55 to IAH 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.