tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:55 TVC → 16:29 ORD
    UA 5686 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 67% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 44mTVC 15:55 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.