Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:00 PVD → 19:03 ORD
    UA 5702 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 03m · 76% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:41 MSP
    UA 2005 · United · 1h 44m · 58% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 41mPVD 17:00 to MSP 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.