tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Dallas-Fort Worth via San Francisco: arrives on time 51%

  1. 20:24 SBA → 21:50 SFO
    UA 5704 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 22% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SFO → 05:45 DFW +1 day
    UA 1722 · United · 3h 46m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 21mSBA 20:24 to DFW 05:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.