tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via San Francisco: arrives on time 82%

  1. 20:24 SBA → 21:50 SFO
    UA 5704 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 22% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:50 SFO → 07:16 ORD +1 day
    UA 1850 · United · 4h 26m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 52mSBA 20:24 to ORD 07:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.