Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via San Francisco: arrives on time 9%

  1. 20:24 SBA → 21:50 SFO
    UA 5704 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 22% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 SFO → 05:01 ORD +1 day
    UA 2278 · United · 4h 23m · 81% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection12%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 88% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (12%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 37mSBA 20:24 to ORD 05:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.