tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Rapid City via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:40 CLT → 20:18 ORD
    UA 5751 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 38m · 76% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:16 RAP
    UA 5331 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 46m · 66% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 2 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 36mCLT 18:40 to RAP 23:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.