tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:15 ASE → 10:33 DEN
    UA 5770 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 83% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 DEN → 15:09 SFO
    UA 1812 · United · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 54mASE 09:15 to SFO 15:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.