tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:25 ASE → 16:38 DEN
    UA 5776 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 63% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:39 DEN → 21:57 AUS
    UA 1942 · United · 2h 18m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 32mASE 15:25 to AUS 21:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.