tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:25 ASE → 16:38 DEN
    UA 5776 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 63% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 DEN → 23:44 AUS
    UA 1943 · United · 2h 17m · 67% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 19mASE 15:25 to AUS 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.