tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:05 MAF → 07:00 DEN
    UA 5794 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:15 DEN → 10:11 PHX
    F9 2141 · Frontier · 2h 01m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Midland). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 11mMAF 06:05 to PHX 10:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.