tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:00 MKE → 05:59 ORD
    UA 5799 · United, flown by SkyWest · 59m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 ORD → 10:30 EWR
    UA 563 · United · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 30mMKE 05:00 to EWR 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.