tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 09:00 XNA → 11:00 IAH
    UA 5803 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:20 IAH → 15:10 PHX
    UA 1238 · United · 2h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 10mXNA 09:00 to PHX 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.