tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:31 RAP → 17:10 DEN
    UA 5805 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DEN → 21:59 PHX
    UA 1236 · United · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 28mRAP 15:31 to PHX 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.