tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:31 RAP → 17:10 DEN
    UA 5805 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 DEN → 00:44 ORD +1 day
    UA 2649 · United · 2h 39m · 71% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 13mRAP 15:31 to ORD 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.