tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 RAP → 09:34 ORD
    UA 5811 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 27mRAP 06:00 to MSP 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.