tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:00 RAP → 09:34 ORD
    UA 5811 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:29 ORD → 13:12 DFW
    UA 441 · United · 2h 43m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 12mRAP 06:00 to DFW 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.