tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 RAP → 09:34 ORD
    UA 5811 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:54 ORD → 12:45 DEN
    UA 581 · United · 2h 51m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip6h 45mRAP 06:00 to DEN 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.