tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 RAP → 09:34 ORD
    UA 5811 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 ORD → 13:50 CLT
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 50mRAP 06:00 to CLT 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.