tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → New York via Denver: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:28 XNA → 14:48 DEN
    UA 5812 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 92% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 DEN → 23:30 LGA
    UA 2033 · United · 3h 55m · 60% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip9h 02mXNA 13:28 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.