tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 08:45 OKC → 11:11 ORD
    UA 5823 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 26m · 78% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:12 DCA
    UA 1941 · United · 2h 12m · 66% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 27mOKC 08:45 to DCA 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.