tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:44 DEN
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 44mTVC 06:00 to DEN 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.