tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:13 DFW
    AA 3052 · American · 2h 33m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 13mTVC 06:00 to DFW 12:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.