tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 34mTVC 06:00 to DTW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.