tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 ORD → 12:06 EWR
    UA 2301 · United · 2h 26m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 06mTVC 06:00 to EWR 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.