tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 13:23 IAH
    UA 2638 · United · 2h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 23mTVC 06:00 to IAH 13:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.