Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 ORD → 11:01 DCA
    UA 382 · United · 2h 01m · 85% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 01mTVC 06:00 to DCA 11:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.