tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 TVC → 06:30 ORD
    UA 5840 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 ORD → 13:26 LGA
    UA 669 · United · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 26mTVC 06:00 to LGA 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.