tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Aspen via Los Angeles: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:10 AUS → 15:40 LAX
    UA 5841 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:12 LAX → 20:23 ASE
    DL 3704 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 13mAUS 14:10 to ASE 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.