tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 62%

  1. 17:05 FSD → 18:13 DEN
    UA 5848 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 DEN → 00:44 ORD +1 day
    UA 2649 · United · 2h 39m · 71% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 39mFSD 17:05 to ORD 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.