tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fresno via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 07:37 LAX
    UA 5849 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 LAX → 11:31 FAT
    UA 5299 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 31mPHX 06:00 to FAT 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.