tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 07:37 LAX
    UA 5849 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:39 LAX → 18:48 IAD
    UA 2667 · United · 5h 09m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 48mPHX 06:00 to IAD 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.