tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kahului via Los Angeles: arrives on time 91%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 07:37 LAX
    UA 5849 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 LAX → 11:46 OGG
    UA 417 · United · 5h 46m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 46mPHX 06:00 to OGG 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.