tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:20 XNA → 09:30 ORD
    UA 5853 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 ORD → 14:20 MSP
    UA 2749 · United · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 00mXNA 07:20 to MSP 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.