tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:20 XNA → 09:30 ORD
    UA 5853 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 ORD → 15:52 DCA
    UA 752 · United · 2h 07m · 65% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 32mXNA 07:20 to DCA 15:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.