tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:25 COU → 17:05 ORD
    UA 5869 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:17 ORD → 20:22 DEN
    UA 1974 · United · 3h 05m · 58% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Columbia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 57mCOU 15:25 to DEN 20:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.