tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 10:25 ECP → 13:09 ORD
    UA 5874 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 44m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ORD → 17:12 DCA
    UA 1314 · United · 2h 12m · 56% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 47mECP 10:25 to DCA 17:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.