tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Salt Lake City via San Francisco: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:35 MFR → 20:07 SFO
    UA 5883 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 53% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 SFO → 23:59 SLC
    UA 5753 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 66% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Medford). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 24mMFR 18:35 to SLC 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.